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Tigers vs. Astros line, odds, start time, spread pick, best bets for Oct. 1 Wild Card matchup from proven model

SportsLine's projection model, which is on a profitable 32-17 run, has locked in its MLB picks for Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros on Tuesday afternoon in the 2024 MLB Wild Card Series

By@SportsLinePublished: Oct 01, 2024 4:40PM UTC . 2 min read

A Wild Card showdown has the Houston Astros hosting the Detroit Tigers in an AL battle. The Astros were winners of the AL West and made the playoffs for the eighth straight season. Meanwhile, Detroit is in the postseason for the first time since 2014. Framber Valdez (15-7, 2.91 ERA) is on the mound for Houston. Tarik Skubal (18-4, 2.39 ERA) gets the nod for the Tigers.

First pitch is scheduled for 2:32 p.m. ET from Minute Maid Park in Houston. The Astros are the -153 money line favorites (risk $153 to win $100) in the latest Tigers vs. Astros odds, while Detroit is a +131 underdog. The over/under for total runs scored is 6 in the latest MLB odds via SportsLine consensus. 

Before making any Tigers vs. Astros picks or MLB predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. Entering the 2024 MLB playoffs, it's on a 32-17 roll on top-rated run-line picks (+822) that dates back to last season. Anybody following has seen strong returns!

The model knows Houston second baseman Jose Altuve is a reliable and effective player for the Astros. Altuve has good pop in his swing to push the ball all over the field. In 2024, the 34-year-old hit .295 with 20 dingers and 65 RBI.

The model also knows Detroit left fielder Riley Greene provided the team with a capable difference maker. He ranked first on the team in batting average (.262), home runs (24), RBI (74), and hits (134). 

The model has simulated Tigers vs. Astros 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!

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