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Phillies vs. Astros odds, lines: Advanced computer model reveals picks for April 30, 2023, Sunday Night Baseball matchup

SportsLine's Projection Model has generated picks for Sunday's interleague matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and Houston Astros

By@SportsLinePublished: Apr 30, 2023 9:09PM UTC . 3 min read

In a rematch of last year's World Series, the Philadelphia Phillies take on the Houston Astros on Sunday Night Baseball. The Astros (14-13), who won the World Series 4-2 over Philadelphia in 2022, have lost two games in a row. Houston is also looking to win its sixth American League West Division title in the past seven years. The Phillies (15-13), who finished third in the National League East before making their deep postseason run, have won seven of eight, including four straight.

First pitch from Minute Maid Park in Houston is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. The Astros are the -155 favorites on the money line (risk $155 to win $100) in the latest Phillies vs. Astros odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total runs scored is 9 (see the latest lines for every game on our MLB odds page).

Before making any Phillies vs. Astros picks, you NEED to see the latest MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, and it is on a 26-21 run dating back to the end of last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

The model knows Houston second baseman Mauricio Dubon is off to a hot start. He had a 20-game hitting streak snapped on Friday, and has seven multi-hit games on the year. In a three-game series at Tampa Bay late last week, Dubon was 4-for-12 with two doubles and a triple. For the season, he is hitting .302 with four RBI and 18 runs scored. In 10 career games against the Phillies, he has one double and two RBI.

The model also knows Philadelphia center fielder Brandon Marsh has been red hot, and is 2-for-5 in the series with a double and one RBI. He has hits in seven of the past eight games and has five multi-hit games on the year, including a 4-for-6 performance in a 14-3 win at Cincinnati. For the season, Marsh is hitting .341 with four homers, 14 RBI and 17 runs scored. In 40 career games against Houston, he is hitting .324 with five doubles and eight RBI.

Now, it has set its sights on Phillies vs. Astros We can tell you the model is leaning Under on the total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks of your own.

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