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Penn State vs. VCU line, picks: Advanced computer college basketball model releases selections for ESPN Events Invitational matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Sunday's matchup between the Penn State Nittany Lions and the VCU Rams

By@SportsLineUpdated: Nov 26, 2023 2:31PM UTC . 2 min read

The Penn State Nittany Lions and the VCU Rams square off as part of the ESPN Events Invitational at 10:30 a.m. ET on Sunday. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Nittany Lions as 2.5-point favorites, while the over/under is 138.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). Before making any Penn State vs. VCU picks, you NEED to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 3 of the 2023-24 season on an 88-57 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. Anyone who followed it saw HUGE returns!

The model knows Penn State has a fantastic guard in sophomore Kanye Clary. He had 28 points on 13-22 shooting in Penn State's last game, and Clary has 19 points or more in four of six games this season. All told, he is averaging 19.5 points per game on 51.7% shooting. Clary is also leading an offense that is above-average in turnover prevention, offensive rebounding, 2-point accuracy, and free throw accuracy. 

The model also knows VCU has an electric defense. The Rams are allowing only 96.4 points per 100 possessions so far this season. VCU limits opponents to 42.2% shooting on 2-point attempts and 29.8% shooting on 3-point attempts. The Rams are also outstanding in contesting shots, producing a 13.5% block rate.

Now, it has set its sights on Penn State vs. VCU. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

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