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Nuggets vs. Thunder odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for NBA playoff matchup on May 13, 2025

The SportsLine Projection Model, up well over $10,000 on NBA picks over the past six seasons, has locked in its best bets for Game 5 of the Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder in the 2025 NBA playoffs on Tuesday

ByPublished: May 14, 2025 12:06AM UTC . 2 min read

The Denver Nuggets battle the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 5 of their Western Conference semifinal matchup on Tuesday. The Nuggets (50-32), who finished second in the Northwest Division, are 26-20 on the road this season, including the playoffs. The Thunder (68-14), the Northwest Division champions and top seed in the West, are 38-7 on their home court in 2024-25. OKC evened the series at 2-2 with a 92-87 win on Sunday, as Oklahoma City's bench combined for 35 points, compared to just eight points from Denver's second unit.

Tip-off from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. The Thunder are 10-point favorites in the latest Nuggets vs. Thunder odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 222.5, an increase from opening at 217.5. OKC is priced at -441 on the money line (risk $441 to win $100), while Denver is listed at +338 (risk $100 to win $338).

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Before making any Nuggets vs. Thunder picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the conference semifinals of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 159-117 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 23-11 (68%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Nuggets vs. Thunder 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is going Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread is hitting on nearly 70% of simulations!

Who wins Nuggets vs. Thunder, and which side of the spread cashes in nearly 70% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 159-117 roll on top-rated NBA picks!

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Daniel Kohn

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