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Mavericks vs. Lakers line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Thursday showdown

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Thursday's matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and the Los Angeles Lakers

By@SportsLinePublished: Jan 13, 2023 12:41AM UTC . 2 min read

The Dallas Mavericks visit the Los Angeles Lakers for a nationally televised showdown at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday. Dallas is favored by 3 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 236.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Before making any Mavericks vs. Lakers picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 13 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 43-19 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,100. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Mavericks are fantastic on offense, scoring 114.8 points per 100 possessions this season. Dallas is No. 2 in the NBA in free throw attempts (26.7 per game), with the Mavericks also committing only 12.4 giveaways per game. The Mavericks are also elite in 3-point defense, giving up only 11.0 triples per game. 

The model also knows the Lakers have strong offensive bonafides. Los Angeles is in the top eight of the NBA in field goal percentage (48.6%) and 2-point percentage (56.2%). The Lakers are generating more than 25 free throw attempts per game. The team is in the top five of the NBA in fast break points and points in the paint.

Now, it has set its sights on Mavericks vs. Lakers. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

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