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Celtics vs. Heat line, picks: Proven NBA computer model releases selections for Eastern Conference Finals Game 4 matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated picks and best bets for Game 4 of Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat in the Eastern Conference Finals

By@SportsLinePublished: May 23, 2023 10:58PM UTC . 2 min read

The Boston Celtics aim to stay alive against the Miami Heat in Game 4 of the 2023 NBA Eastern Conference finals at 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday. The Heat lead the series by a 3-0 margin. Miami is favored by 1 point at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is 216.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Celtics vs. Heat picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model entered the conference finals of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 72-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,900. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Celtics are in a desperate situation. Boston is scoring almost 1.17 points per possession in the playoffs, and the Celtics ranked No. 2 in the NBA in offensive efficiency during the regular season. The Celtics have been cold from 3-point range in the series, but Boston averaged 16.0 3-pointers per game during the regular season and connected on almost 38% of long-range offerings.

The model also knows the Heat are in the midst of an historic run. Miami is 11-3 in the playoffs, out-scoring opponents by 6.6 points per 100 possessions. That includes a 6-0 mark at home, and the Heat are excelling on both ends of the floor. Miami is shooting 51.9% from the floor and 47.8% from 3-point range against Boston in the series, and Jimmy Butler has been the best player on the floor.

Now, it has set its sights on Celtics vs. Heat. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread has all of the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

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