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2024 Tampa Bay Derby morning-line odds, picks, post time: Racing insider offers betting strategy for Saturday's Kentucky Derby prep race

Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir, who has crushed the Tampa Bay Derby twice in the last three years, reveals his picks for Saturday's important 3-year-old race at Tampa Bay Downs

By@SportsLinePublished: Mar 09, 2024 2:31PM UTC . 3 min read

The road to the 2024 Kentucky Derby makes a stop at Tampa Bay Downs on Saturday for the 2024 Tampa Bay Derby. This year's race will award 50 points to the winner, virtually guaranteeing him a spot in the starting gate in the first leg of the Triple Crown at Churchill Downs on Saturday, May 4. Sam F. Davis Stakes winner No More Time is the 7-5 favorite in the 2024 Tampa Bay Derby odds. The Chad Brown-trained Domestic Product is the 8-5 second choice in the 10-horse 2024 Tampa Bay Derby field. Post time for the Tampa Bay Derby is 5:18 p.m. ET.

With several accomplished horses set to enter the starting gate on Saturday, you'll want to see what Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has to say before making any Tampa Bay Derby picks.

A member of the Beyer Speed Figure-making team since 2017, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014.

In April of last year, he hit a Pick 4 at Gulfstream Park for $641, the exacta in the Florida Derby, a Pick 5 at Keeneland and the exacta in the Lexington Stakes. He smashed the trifecta in the Belmont Stakes for $532.96, and later in June he crushed a Pick 4 at Belmont for $555. Those were just some of his scores from 2023.

In addition, Weir has a history of crushing the Tampa Bay Derby. In 2021, he hit the exacta for $1,414, and two years ago he nailed the race for $660.

Now, Weir has handicapped the 2024 Tampa Bay Derby field, made his picks and constructed his bets.

One surprise: Weir's top pick is not No More Time, even though he's the 7-5 favorite! In his Sam F. Davis win, No More Time was allowed to set the pace, but Weir is not certain that No More Time will be able to get to the lead on Saturday. "I'm not convinced he's a need-the-lead horse, but he could be vulnerable on Saturday with more forwardly placed horses," Weir told SportsLine.

Moreover, Weir's top pick is a longshot who "has faced some tough horses." He also is high on a double-digit longshot who may be "a little better than he looks on paper." Weir is including these horses in his 2024 Tampa Bay Derby bets, and so should you. You ABSOLUTELY need to see his picks before locking in any of your own.

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