New Orleans 118 @ Utah 129 | 01/22 | 3:00 AM UTC
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Sacramento 96 @ L.A. Clippers 115 | 01/21 | 3:00 AM UTC
OVER 230
LOSS
ANALYSIS: The Kings are 14-0 OU (+9.96 ppg) as an underdog after a game as a home underdog in which Buddy Hield made at least five 3-pointers. We have cashed numerous times with this one. As a team, the Kings are 16-0 OU (+16.16 ppg) with rest after a game in which they scored less than 15 percent of their points from free throws. The Clippers are 7-0 OU at home off a home game in which Kawhi Leonard was not the high scorer, flying over by an average of 21 ppg. We make the play the Over.
Orlando 97 @ Minnesota 96 | 01/21 | 1:00 AM UTC
Orlando -3.5
LOSS
ANALYSIS: The Magic are 8-0 ATS (+8.81 ppg) after a game in which Aaron Gordon had a double-double and 9-0 ATS (+9.89 ppg) in their second straight road game and Nikola Vucevic has a double-double in each of their last two games. Minnesota was swept by the Magic last season and double revenge has not been a motivating factor for the T-Wolves, as they are 0-16 ATS (-7.53 ppg) as a dog with less than two days rest off a road game when they lost two straight vs their opponent. The Magic should be able to impose their will Wednesday.
Dallas 124 @ Indiana 112 | 01/21 | 12:00 AM UTC
Dallas -1.5
WIN
ANALYSIS: Luka Doncic scored 36 points vs the Bulls on Sunday, followed by 15 against the Raptors on Monday. This is a play-on indicator for Dallas, as the Mavericks are 6-0 ATS on the road when his scoring dropped by at least 15 points over their last two games. As a team, they are 27-0 ATS on the road with fewer than two days rest when they are off a road loss in which they scored more than 75 points and they are facing a team that has averaged at least five blocks and at least 8.25 offensive rebounds per game. Lay the small number.
Detroit 107 @ Miami 113 | 01/19 | 1:00 AM UTC
OVER 219
WIN
ANALYSIS: The Heat are 6-0 OU (+21.33 ppg) when Bam Adebayo has more free-throw attempts than shot attempts, 9-0 OU (+11.78 ppg) after a game as favorites in which Kelly Olynyk shot worse than 33 percent from the field and 6-0 OU (+17.00 ppg) at home after a game as home favorites in which Duncan Robinson had a negative plus/minus. With Detroit 9-0 OU (+9.06 ppg) following a win as an underdog against a team that is averaging less than four blocks per game, we make the play the Over.