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Tom Fornelli

#TrustTheProcess

A CBS Sports writer since 2010, the entertaining Fornelli is perhaps best known for his college football expertise. Fornelli co-hosts the popular Cover 3 Podcast and appears regularly on CBS Sports HQ. You'll get maximum access to Fornelli's picks only on SportsLine. For Tom Fornelli media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

@TomFornelli
LAST 15 CFB ATS PICKS
+650
RECORD: 11-4-0
# 4 NCAAF EXPERT
+650
11-4 IN LAST 15 CFB ATS PICKS

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Tom's Past Picks

Dec 07 2025, 1:00 am UTC
League
Duke
27
@ Virginia
20
+263
13-12 in Last 25 NCAAF Picks
Analysis:

Duke's defense has been horrible for the last month, and that includes Virginia putting up 31 points against it earlier despite taking its foot off the gas in the fourth quarter. The Hoos should move the ball well here again, but I expect Duke's offense to find a bit more success too.

Pick Made: Dec 03, 8:50 pm UTC on DraftKings
Dec 07 2025, 1:00 am UTC
League
Indiana
13
@ Ohio State
10
Analysis:

Ohio State hasn't allowed more than 16 points in a game this season. Indiana is the best team its faced, but it's also an Indiana offense that has struggled against the better defenses it's seen. And none of them are as good as Ohio State's.

Pick Made: Dec 03, 8:51 pm UTC on BetRivers
Dec 06 2025, 5:00 pm UTC
League
BYU
7
@ Texas Tech
34
+263
13-12 in Last 25 NCAAF Picks
Analysis:

Texas Tech's defense dominated the first meeting and should do so again. BYU's offense is built around physicality and the run game, but the Cougs cannot match the physicality of Tech's defense. Few teams can. At the same time, BYU's defense held up well considering the bad spots turnovers put it in during the first game, and should do well here again.

Pick Made: Dec 03, 8:49 pm UTC on BetMGM
Dec 06 2025, 1:00 am UTC
League
North Texas
21
@ Tulane
34
+650
11-4 in Last 15 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

This doesn't strike me as a great matchup for Tulane. While North Texas was destroyed in its last spotlight game against USF, just about everything that could go wrong that night did go wrong. Now the Mean Green will bring one of the most explosive passing offenses out against a Tulane pass defense that's struggled quite a bit this season.

Pick Made: Dec 03, 8:47 pm UTC on FanDuel
Nov 16 2025, 3:15 am UTC
League
TCU
13
@ BYU
44
+650
11-4 in Last 15 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

Provo at night is a difficult place to play, and given TCU QB Josh Hoover's turnover tendencies, I can see things going sideways quickly for the Frogs.

Pick Made: Nov 14, 3:21 pm UTC on Caesars
Nov 15 2025, 11:00 pm UTC
League
C. Carolina
40
@ Ga. Southern
45
+650
11-4 in Last 15 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

Coastal has been one of the better teams in the country over the last month and the market is yet to catch on. This team could still win the Sun Belt, and I expect it to go on the road and win here.

Pick Made: Nov 14, 3:19 pm UTC on FanDuel
Nov 15 2025, 11:00 pm UTC
League
C. Carolina
40
@ Ga. Southern
45
+399
3-2 in Last 5 NCAAF ML Picks
Analysis:

I like Coastal Carolina on the spread and I like them on the money line for the same reasons. Coastal is the better team right now, and it has far more to play for.

Pick Made: Nov 14, 3:33 pm UTC on DraftKings
Nov 15 2025, 9:30 pm UTC
League
North Carolina
12
@ Wake Forest
28
+263
13-12 in Last 25 NCAAF Picks
Analysis:

North Carolina moves at a snail-like pace on offense and tries to win games with defense, special teams and field position. Wake Forest moves slowly on offense too, and it's offense has completely stalled in recent weeks.

Pick Made: Nov 14, 3:25 pm UTC on FanDuel
Nov 15 2025, 9:15 pm UTC
League
New Mexico St.
9
@ Tennessee
42
Analysis:

Josh Heupel never passes up on a chance to entertain Tennessee fans with touchdowns when given the chance.

Pick Made: Nov 14, 3:34 pm UTC on FanDuel
Nov 15 2025, 8:30 pm UTC
League
Oklahoma
23
@ Alabama
21
+263
13-12 in Last 25 NCAAF Picks
Analysis:

Alabama's offense is one-handed and has struggled to score points in the SEC all season. Oklahoma's offense has also been horrible in SEC play, as we don't hear much about John Mateer's Heisman campaign anymore. The defenses will dictate this game.

Pick Made: Nov 14, 3:25 pm UTC on Caesars
Nov 15 2025, 8:30 pm UTC
League
Iowa
21
@ USC
26
+650
11-4 in Last 15 NCAAF ATS Picks
+178
4-2 in Last 6 IOWA ATS Picks
Analysis:

Iowa caught a slight break last week with the weather and Oregon being down it's three best pass-catchers. They won't catch that break here. Yes, it'll be raining, but you try to cover Makai Lemon and Ja'Kobi Lane on unsolid footing. That, and this is Iowa's fourth straight "big" game, and that wears on you.

Pick Made: Nov 14, 3:17 pm UTC on BetMGM
Nov 15 2025, 8:30 pm UTC
League
UCF
9
@ Texas Tech
48
+650
11-4 in Last 15 NCAAF ATS Picks
+80
3-2 in Last 5 UCF ATS Picks
Analysis:

The Red Raiders dominated BYU at home last week and would've won by far more if they scored touchdowns instead of field goals. That's been a problem all season, but with how UCF has struggled on the road, I don't believe it'll be a problem here.

Pick Made: Nov 14, 3:13 pm UTC on BetMGM
Nov 15 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Colorado St.
17
@ New Mexico
20
+650
11-4 in Last 15 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

Colorado State fired its coach a few games ago and the team has responded by getting outscored 70-10 in its last two. Meanwhile, New Mexico still has a narrow path to the Mountain West Championship Game after last week's win over UNLV.

Pick Made: Nov 14, 3:12 pm UTC on BetRivers
Nov 15 2025, 7:00 pm UTC
League
North Texas
53
@ UAB
24
+650
11-4 in Last 15 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

UAB isn't particularly good at anything, but when you look at what it's truly bad at it all happens to line up with the things North Texas is exceptionally good at.

Pick Made: Nov 14, 3:11 pm UTC on DraftKings
Nov 15 2025, 6:00 pm UTC
League
Oregon State
14
@ Tulsa
31
+399
3-2 in Last 5 NCAAF ML Picks
Analysis:

This is an early start for Oregon State at 10am PT, and the Beavers are coming off a horrific home loss to Sam Houston last week. Now they have to travel for this game against a team that means nothing to them under an interim coach. Meanwhile, Tulsa sees this as an opportunity to put a win on the board.

Pick Made: Nov 14, 3:31 pm UTC on bet365
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