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Wed, Dec 312:00 am UTCAlamodome
USC
Trojans
USC
Last 5 ATS
W/L8-4
ATS5-8
O/U7-6-0
FINAL SCORE
27
-
30
TCU
Horned Frogs
TCU
Last 5 ATS
W/L8-4
ATS7-5
O/U7-6-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
8-4
Win /Loss
8-4
5-8
Spread
7-5
7-6-0
Over / Under
7-6-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
USC @ TCU
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MONEYLINE
USC @ TCU
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OVER / UNDER
USC @ TCU
Subscribers Only

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59%
PUBLIC
41%
MONEY
90%
PUBLIC
10%
MONEY
Over27%
PUBLIC
Under73%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadUSC -5.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
Micah's Analysis:

USC and TCU meet in the Alamo Bowl in San Antonio, and both teams have key players opting out for multiple reasons. Some players are opting out because they have their eyes on the NFL draft, and others are opting out because they're entering the transfer portal, and that's one of the reasons I'm making my bet on USC. Jaden Maiava is the starting QB, and he's coming back to USC. He'll be missing his top three receivers, but the main point is the starting quarterback is still there, while TCU quarterback Josh Hoover is entering the transfer portal, which means former Vanderbilt starter Ken Seals is getting the nod. USC to win by 10 or more.

Pick Made: Dec 30, 5:15 pm UTC on FanDuel
SpreadUSC -3.5 -108
LOSS
Unit1.0
+636
15-8 in Last 23 NCAAF ATS Picks
+65
4-3 in Last 7 TCU ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

USC will take the field without some playmakers who are bailing, but at least gifted QB Jayden Maiava sticks around. The same cannot be said for TCU, with QB Josh Hoolver intending to transfer. A possible future NFL pick, he has started for the Horned Frogs for 2 1/2 seasons. Backup Ken Seals has throw only a half-dozen passes all season. The Trojans could be buoyed from signing the top-ranked recruiting class and should be eager to close the book on this year on a high note. Their depth could atone for the bowl's absentees.

Pick Made: Dec 19, 2:16 am UTC on Caesars

Team Injuries

USC Trojans
Thursday, Jan 15, 2026
Avatar
RB
Waymond Jordan
Ankle
TCU Horned Frogs
Thursday, Jan 15, 2026
Avatar
RB
Kevorian Barnes
Undisclosed
Avatar
WR
Jordan Dwyer
Foot
Avatar
WR
Dozie Ezukanma
Undisclosed
Avatar
WR
Jacobe Hayes
Undisclosed
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