I don't get this number at all. Yeah, Toledo has an outside shot at the MAC title game (but not really) and Central no longer does, but so what. 11.5 on the road seems crazy to me as these teams are not that far from being basically even. Chips Ahoy are bowl eligible for the first time since 2021 and eyeing an unbeaten home slate for the first time since 2019. I think Toledo is slightly better, but yeah an outright CMU win would not surprise me unless I am completely reading this wrong. Which is possible. I did go to a MAC school after all. Let's just say I will be quite stunned if CMU loses by more than 10.