Provo at night is a difficult place to play, and given TCU QB Josh Hoover's turnover tendencies, I can see things going sideways quickly for the Frogs.

TCU has been playing some shaky football for about a month and I'm not sure Provo at night is where the Horned Frogs are going to recapture their mojo. BYU's offensive woes against Texas Tech are likely a reflection of the Red Raiders' elite status defensively, with TCU being something closer to the average Big 12 team in that regard. If the Cougars can get the ground game going it's going to be a long night for TCU, and a good opportunity for BYU to keep its Big 12 title hopes alive.

Here's another number I think is too low for Saturday, although not Missouri State low. Yes, BYU was smacked in Lubbock by TTU last week but really no shame in that these days and the Cougars still have a clear path to the Big 12 title game and the playoff by winning out. And they are always light years better in Provo (especially at night), including winning nine of the past 10 there. The defense still played pretty well in that TTU loss all things considered and is among the Big 12's best. BYU is also No. 23 in rushing nationally with 200.0 YPG. And it is bringing back the awesome classic home royal uniforms Saturday. TCU top tailback Kevorian Barnes (97-443-3) is questionable.