This will be an offensive explosion for both teams. Both the Rebels and the Lobos have the ability to generate chunk plays on the ground and through the air. Because both teams have the ability to score, it's hard seeing this game get out of a field goal type contest.

This is one of my favorite plays of the week. UNLV is coming off a disappointing performance against Boise State, so I expect the Rebs to be inspired. New Mexico is improved, but doesn't have the firepower to keep up with UNLV here.

New Mexico is solid but also 1-3 away. Another loss for the Rebs, and they can forget the playoff for sure and probably the MW title game as well. They have been off since getting shellacked at Boise State on Oct. 18. This seems like it should be a good 50 cents higher in my opinion. Saturday is only UNLV's second home game in 56 days. It has won five straight at Allegiant Stadium. Led by QB Anthony Colandrea, the Rebels have scored at least 30 points in their first seven games of the season to set the school record for consecutive 30-point outings. Our model has UNLV by 18. Not sure about that but I will be pretty surprised with a loss.

UNLV had the week off and returns home this week, where they face 5-3 New Mexico. UNLV comes off a loss at Boise State, which was their first loss of the season, making them 6-1. No sweat on undefeated UNLV talk because it's never happened. Their average score is 37-33 with a balanced offensive attack, but the 131st-ranked defense is allowing 461 yards per game. However, they don't make mistakes. They are No. 2 in the nation with a +10 turnover margin. I think UNLV wins this game with an extra week to prepare.