Solid day so far, probably should just stop and be up. But any chance I get to fade the hated Seminoles, I do it. Actually just got off a text session with a buddy who is a big-time Florida State alum/booster (after he ragged me for Miami's annual choke on Friday night). He thinks they may well lose tonight, guys want out and says it should be a pick'em, but that might just be him angling for James Franklin and I assume being a little dramatic. As FSU grads tend to be. Stanford is not good at all but 18 at home? With FSU having lost 3 in a row and traveling across country? Our model has it about 14.

Stanford has been schizophrenic this season, having gone 0-4 SU on the road and 2-0 SU at home. Its best outing was a 10-point decision over Boston College, which traveled three time zones for a late-night start -- just as FSU is doing. A 10:30 (ET) kickoff in a quiet, sparsely populated stadium poses a motivational challenge for the Seminoles as they seek to snap a three-game SU slide. Taking the Cardinal lightly in such circumstances is foreseeable, and the spread appears super-sized.