Simulation Picks

Expert Picks

Oct 14 2025, 7:00 pm ET

Aggies

27

@ Flames

30

Over / UnderUnder 48.5 -110

LOSS

Unit1.0

Bob Konarski

BurghBets

Profile →

+138

24-21-1 in Last 46 NCAAF Picks

Bob's Analysis:

Neither of these teams play with a lot of pace. Liberty is 5-1 to the under on the season, and the Aggies are near the bottom of the country, only averaging around 65 plays per game. Liberty's games have averaged 38 total points on the season and both teams are outside the top 100 in offensive scoring. The Flames secondary is holding their opponents passing game to under 155 yards per game and New Mexico State’s rushing attack hasn’t been efficient this season.

Pick Made: Oct 14, 4:00 pm ET on FanDuel

Team Injuries

All Games

ALL

All Games

40%

2-3

2-4

33%

On Road

LOCATION

At Home

0%

0-2

0%

As Underdog or PK

STATUS

As Favorite

50%

2-2

1-3

25%

When Spread was +8.5 to +12.5

SPREAD

When Spread was -12.5 to -8.5

0%

0-1

0-0

0%

As Road Underdog

LOCATION & STATUS

As Home Favorite

0%

0-2

0-1

0%

vs Teams That Win <50% of Games

OPP WIN%

vs Teams That Win 50-70% of Games

100%

1-0

1-2

33%

vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG

OPP DEFENSE

vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG

33%

1-2

1-3

25%

After >8 Days Off

REST

After <=8 Days Off

40%

2-3

0-0

0%

vs LIB

HEAD TO HEAD

vs NMEXST

0%

0-0

0%

OPPONENT	W/L	ATS	ML	O/U
MTSU11/29/2025	31-24LOSS	-3.5LOSS	-165LOSS	52.5OVER
@UTEP11/22/2025	34-31WIN	+3.5WIN	+157WIN	44.5OVER
@TENN11/15/2025	9-42LOSS	+41.5WIN		60.5UNDER
KENSAW11/08/2025	24-21LOSS	+10.0WIN	+313LOSS	52.5UNDER
@WKY11/01/2025	16-35LOSS	+8.5LOSS	+240LOSS	53.5UNDER

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