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The rebuilding Cardinal have managed wins against an unprepared Boston College club and a San Jose State team that simply refused to finish off a game it dominated most of the way. This is a prime get-right spot for a powerful Mustangs unit that has seen a downturn in execution in its past two games. They should score early and often, and a limited Stanford team will struggle to keep pace. It feels like a lot would need to go wrong for SMU in order for the underdog to deliver ATS.
SMU has yet to fully click on both sides of the ball, but we think this is a good matchup for them against Stanford. SMU's offense at home so far this season is not too far off of what they did last season when they averaged 40 PPG at home. It's their defense and road offense that have been the problem. Stanford allowed 48 points to UVA in its lone ACC road game so far this season and allowed 38 PPG on the road last season. This is a game that SMU could use to get right, and while the Mustangs have two losses, neither of those were conference losses.
Stanford has managed two SU wins, both at home. The road is a vastly different story. The Cardinal opened with a loss at hardly imposing Hawaii and have since been hammered by BYU and Virginia. Its offense ranks second-to-last in the ACC, its defense third-to-last. SMU's D also rates among the weakest, but the Mustangs can gobble up yards gained. They should capitalize on the crazy early start time (9 a.m. PT) against the Cardinal and put the sleepy visitors away early.
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