UNLV and Wyoming are both coming off a bye week in what is the conference opener in the Mountain West for both. UNLV on the season is undefeated but nothing has come easy as they barely beat both Idaho State and had to come from behind against Miami Ohio. Wyoming has also been a tricky place for the Rebels who have lost five straight matchups there, and last victory was 2003. Look for that to end tonight, as the Rebels offense solidifies an ATS cover.

The weather is going to be the main issue in Wyoming, with a 76% chance of rain at 53° and wind blowing in at 12 mph. That's good football weather and the type of weather that gives Wyoming football five points for a home-field advantage. An example of how large Wyoming's home edge is that Alabama and Penn State get 6 points for home-field advantage, while Bowling Green gets 2 points. UNLV averages 450 yards per game, but this game figures to be won on the ground, and UNLV has the 34th-ranked running game, averaging 206 yards per game, which is one area that Wyoming hasn't excelled at this year, allowing 163 yards per game. UNLV to stay undefeated.

UNLV hasn't looked all that great this season, but the Runnin' Rebels are 4-0 and still firmly in the race to represent the Group of 5 in the playoffs. Laramie, Wyoming is one of the tougher places to play, but Wyoming is just 4-10 against FBS opponents since last season, and we think UNLV is just more talented.