Travel destinations are becoming less and less of an impact for spread evaluation as conference play begins for some. Out in the Mountain West Nevada gets to face a team traveling on a lengthy road trip in Middle Tennessee. As I said in last week’s write up with Washington State gaining a slim victory over Idaho, there is value to be had on team’s that get by against a non division one school. Expect Nevada to play a more fluid game after defeating Sacramento State by just three points. Lay the spread in a rare high number spot for a Wolf Pack team that is 6 and 31 over their last thirty seven games.

Nevada gave Penn State a respectable effort in a nationally televised game before struggling to beat FCS opponent Sacramento State. MTSU was routed by Wisconsin last week but its strong first-half effort might be better than what we've seen from Nevada. Regardless, there's little evidence to suggest that the Wolf Pack should be laying nearly double figures to a fellow G5 team with a similar profile. Both clubs will see this as a winnable game, and we anticipate a close outcome.