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Sat, Sep 0611:30 pm UTCDavis Wade Stadium at Scott Field
75 F
Arizona State
Sun Devils
ARIZST
Last 5 ATS
W/L7-4
ATS5-6
O/U4-8-0
FINAL SCORE
20
-
24
Mississippi State
Bulldogs
MISSST
Last 5 ATS
W/L5-7
ATS8-4
O/U6-6-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
7-4
Win /Loss
5-7
5-6
Spread
8-4
4-8-0
Over / Under
6-6-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
ARIZST @ MISSST
Subscribers Only

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MONEYLINE
ARIZST @ MISSST
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
ARIZST @ MISSST
Subscribers Only

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3%
PUBLIC
97%
MONEY
90%
PUBLIC
10%
MONEY
Over14%
PUBLIC
Under86%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadMiss. State +6.5 -105
WIN
Unit2.0
+256
24-20-1 in Last 45 NCAAF Picks
+158
7-5 in Last 12 NCAAF ATS Picks
Bob's Analysis:

Mississippi State looked much better than expected in their opener. The Sun Devils have the better offensive team, but Mississippi State showed some promise as we thought they were rebuilding. The Bulldogs were able to get pressure against Southern Miss and even though they didn’t have their best year last season they allowed 39 points, or more, in all but two home games last season. The Bulldogs atmosphere would be rocking for a possible upset.

Pick Made: Sep 06, 4:30 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LineMiss. State +200
WIN
Unit1.0
+399
3-2 in Last 5 NCAAF ML Picks
Tom's Analysis:

Mississippi State has improved, and I'm not convinced Arizona State has. The Bulldogs hung within a score of the Sun Devils in Tempe last season, and this week Kenny Dillingham had to stir a hornet's nest with his comments about Starkville. This could be the weekend's big upset.

Pick Made: Sep 05, 1:46 am UTC on DraftKings
SpreadMiss. State +7 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
Thomas's Analysis:

One team I thought looked much improved in Week 1 was Mississippi State. The Bulldogs are a different team with a healthy Blake Shapen at quarterback. Shapen only played in 4 games last season but one was against Arizona State in a competitive 30-23 loss where he threw for 268 yards and two scores. The Bulldogs lost that game because their atrocious run defense allowed 262 yards to Cam Skattebo. I know it was only Southern Miss but Mississippi State's run defense looked much better, allowing just 102 yards. I think this will be another close game between the two, so I'll grab seven points at home with the Bulldogs.

Pick Made: Sep 02, 1:50 am UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Arizona State Sun Devils
Saturday, Nov 29, 2025
Avatar
WR
Jordyn Tyson
Hamstring
Avatar
DL
Zac Swanson
Undisclosed
Avatar
WR
Noble Johnson
Undisclosed
Avatar
RB
Kyson Brown
Foot
Avatar
TE
Coleson Arends
Undisclosed
Avatar
TE
Jayden Fortier
Undisclosed
Avatar
DL
Joshua Shanklin
Undisclosed
Monday, Nov 10, 2025
Avatar
DB
Xavion Alford
Undisclosed
Friday, Oct 31, 2025
Avatar
QB
Sam Leavitt
Foot
Monday, Oct 13, 2025
Avatar
LB
Zyrus Fiaseu
Undisclosed
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Tuesday, Nov 25, 2025
Avatar
OL
Brennan Smith
Undisclosed
Avatar
CB
Jett Jefferson
Undisclosed
Wednesday, Oct 01, 2025
Avatar
OL
Blake Steen
Undisclosed
Avatar
DL
Will Whitson
Undisclosed
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