This total has actually dropped from 54 to 52.5 in the last day, but we still think there is value on the under. Both teams were under teams last year. The under went 8-4 in Nebraska's 12 FBS games last season and 8-2-1 in Cincinnati's FBS games last season. Unders went 48-28 in Week 1 of college football last season when two FBS teams faced each other. We think both teams will have more success keeping the ball on the ground than in the air, which could help lead to the under hitting.

There's a lot of buzz about the Cornhuskers but not sure we're buying into it...at least yet. Especially regarding once-ballyhooed QB Dylan Raiola, whose ratio of big plays to mistakes has in fact been quite negligible, reflected in his 11 picks vs. just 13 TD passes last season. The Nebraska offense also ranked 103rd in scoring in 2024 at 23.5 ppg, but the perfect storm for unders was allowing just 19.5 ppg. We'll see about Cincy, still looking to gain traction for Scott Satterfield, and QB Brendan Sorsby hoping to find some viable receiving targets from a new collection of wideouts. Play Nebraska-Cincinnati Under (at Kansas City).

Don’t be fooled by Cincinnati being designated the host team in Kansas City. It’s a quasi-home game for the Huskers, who are close enough to travel by bus. The Nebraska following is expected to account for about 80 percent of attending fans. Beyond that, the Big Red’s roster is better, starting with QB Dylan Raiola. He works behind a seasoned O-line that should offer sufficient protection against what was a weak pash rush last year and with little improvement in store. The Bearcats closed 2024 with five SU defeats, including their last three on the road by a combined 54 points.

Game in Kansas City on Thursday. Both bring back their starting QBs but not much else from a skill position standpoint. In its final five games last season, Cincinnati averaged only 18.4 PPG and lost them all. The Huskers started strong in 2024 at 5-1 but finished 1-5 and averaged only 19.7 PPG in those six. Our model has 44 points being scored. I can't find a single one that has at least 50 total points so maybe I'm missing something.