Not a huge fan of Arizona as this is more fading West Virginia, which is expected to be without QB Garrett Greene, left tackle Wyatt Milum and starting cornerback Ayden Garnes. Redshirt sophomore Nicco Marchiol would start at QB and his career completion percentage in three seasons is only 52.4, and it's not like he's a major dual threat. Can run a little.

While injured West Virginia QB Garrett Greene is expected to bypass this one, the more consequential absence is OT Wyatt Milum, a premier left tackle. Arizona, banged up on defense, still should contain the Mountaineers. The Wildcats have underachieved on offense, with QB Noah Fifita a disappointment, mainly because of turnovers -- 10 in the past three games, all losses. Giveaways tend to come and go, so count on Arizona protecting the ball better. WVU's leaky pass defense, perhaps the weakest in the Big 12, could make it easy on the Wildcats. Temperatures in the high 90s at kickoff provide an extra home-field edge to heat-acclimated Arizona.

Maybe the Mountaineers are due a mulligan...their losses have been again three of the remaining unbeatens (Penn State, Pitt, and Iowa State) plus a one-loss Kansas State. But the Mounties are still balancing their offense with three runners (including QB Garrett Greene) who could come close to 1000 YR, and WVU is gaining better than 200 ypg on the ground. Meanwhile, nothing but disappointment for Arizona, with touted soph QB Noah Fifita, only on 9 TDP and 10 picks after tossing 25 TDP vs. only 6 picks a year ago (when he didn't take over the QB job until October) as the start to the Brent Brennan regime shows just one spread cover (at QB-shy Utah) into this weekend. Play West Virginia

When I see the lines posted every week I swear the books still think this is last season's Arizona team. It isn't. I don't think West Virginia is incredible, but it can score enough on this defense to win this one.