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Sat, Oct 127:30 pm UTCDavid A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium
70 F
Louisville
Cardinals
LVILLE
Last 5 ATS
W/L8-4
ATS6-6
O/U8-4-0
FINAL SCORE
24
-
20
Virginia
Cavaliers
UVA
Last 5 ATS
W/L5-7
ATS6-4
O/U4-8-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
8-4
Win /Loss
5-7
6-6
Spread
6-4
8-4-0
Over / Under
4-8-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
LVILLE @ UVA
Subscribers Only

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MONEYLINE
LVILLE @ UVA
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
LVILLE @ UVA
Subscribers Only

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44%
PUBLIC
56%
MONEY
92%
PUBLIC
8%
MONEY
Over71%
PUBLIC
Under29%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineLouisville -270
WIN
Unit1.0
+216
20-18 in Last 38 NCAAF ML Picks
Josh's Analysis:

For the first two years of his tenure with Virginia, coach Tony Elliott’s clubs looked among the least prepared in all of college football, and it was borderline stunning that Elliott was invited back for a third go-round following a 6-16 run in two seasons. However, the Cavaliers are off to a 4-1 start that includes two comeback wins from two-score deficits against Wake Forest and Boston College. Louisville comes off a rugged stretch that includes back-to-back losses to Notre Dame and SMU in one-score contests. But this is still a solid club that should get back on track against a Virginia team that should be headed to a regression phase.

Pick Made: Oct 11, 8:00 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadVirginia +7.5 -110
WIN
Unit0.5
+451
14-7 in Last 21 NCAAF Picks
+55.5
25-19 in Last 44 NCAAF ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Louisville was without a few injured starters for Saturday's loss at SMU and lost another one in left tackle Monroe Mills, who will not play at least this week. He was Louisville's highest-graded offensive lineman per Pro Football Focus at 68.3. Virginia is a surprising 4-1 overall and 2-0 in the ACC. UVA has not turned the ball over in back-to-back games for the first time since 2019. Only like this with the hook. The Wahoos are 10-4 ATS in their past 14.

Pick Made: Oct 07, 9:45 pm UTC on BetMGM

Team Injuries

Louisville Cardinals
Monday, Dec 15, 2025
Avatar
QB
Brady Allen
Transfer Portal
Wednesday, Dec 10, 2025
Avatar
WR
Chris Bell
Knee
Saturday, Nov 29, 2025
Avatar
RB
Jamarice Wilder
Undisclosed
Avatar
RB
Keyjuan Brown
Undisclosed
Avatar
RB
Isaac Brown
Lower Leg
Avatar
RB
Duke Watson
Undisclosed
Saturday, Nov 22, 2025
Avatar
LB
Antonio Watts
Undisclosed
Avatar
QB
Travis Egan
Undisclosed
Avatar
RB
Shammai Gates
Undisclosed
Wednesday, Oct 01, 2025
Avatar
TE
Grant Houser
Knee
Virginia Cavaliers
Monday, Dec 08, 2025
Avatar
OL
Monroe Mills
Undisclosed
Avatar
TE
Dakota Twitty
Leg
Avatar
CB
Jam Jackson
Undisclosed
Avatar
QB
Grady Brosterhous
Foot
Avatar
WR
Andre Greene Jr.
Undisclosed
Avatar
CB
Dre Walker
Undisclosed
Avatar
RB
Noah Vaughn
Ankle
Avatar
WR
Trevor Ladd
Undisclosed
Saturday, Dec 06, 2025
Avatar
WR
Trell Harris
Knee
Tuesday, Oct 28, 2025
Avatar
RB
Xavier Brown
Foot
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