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Thu, Oct 0311:00 pm UTCLarry Blakeney Field at Veterans Memorial Stadium
Texas State
Bobcats
TXSTSM
Last 5 ATS
W/L7-5
ATS6-6
O/U6-4-2
FINAL SCORE
38
-
17
Troy
Trojans
TROY
Last 5 ATS
W/L4-8
ATS6-6
O/U6-6-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
7-5
Win /Loss
4-8
6-6
Spread
6-6
6-4-2
Over / Under
6-6-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
TXSTSM @ TROY
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MONEYLINE
TXSTSM @ TROY
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OVER / UNDER
TXSTSM @ TROY
Subscribers Only

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46%
PUBLIC
54%
MONEY
89%
PUBLIC
11%
MONEY
Over62%
PUBLIC
Under38%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadTexas St. -13.5 -110
WIN
Unit2.0
+529
22-19 in Last 41 NCAAF Picks
+470
5-1 in Last 6 NCAAF ATS Picks
Gene's Analysis:

This is a tough week for Troy to face Texas State, the preseason favorite to win the Sun Belt. The Trojans' top two quarterbacks, Goose Crowder and Tucker Kilcrease, are game-time decisions because of injury, and even if both are available, practice was impacted during the short week. Without Crowder and with a hobbled Kilcrease last week, Troy couldn't score a touchdown in a 13-9 loss to woeful Louisiana-Monroe. The Bobcats are the much healthier team and are averaging 37.5 points per game, which ranks 22nd in the country. Troy doesn't have the offense to keep up with that.

Pick Made: Oct 03, 9:11 pm UTC on BetMGM
Point SpreadTexas St. -13 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+724
28-19-1 in Last 48 NCAAF ATS Picks
+645
11-4 in Last 15 TXSTSM ATS Picks
Zack's Analysis:

Texas State has not made it easy on themselves this season. In their first game they had a tough time defeating Lamar, 34-27. A tough loss to Arizona State was followed up by a loss this past Saturday to Sam Houston after having a 22-0 first quarter lead. Yet, Troy has both quarterbacks in Goose Crowder and Tucker Kilcrease questionable for Thursday’s game. Expect the coaches and players to regroup against a Troy team that is down from last year’s that took down the Bobcats.

Pick Made: Oct 03, 3:04 am UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Texas State Bobcats
No Player Injuries
Troy Trojans
Wednesday, Dec 03, 2025
Avatar
OL
Elijah Prather
Undisclosed
Monday, Oct 06, 2025
Avatar
WR
Mojo Dortch
Redshirt
Wednesday, Oct 01, 2025
Avatar
RB
Trey Cooley
Knee
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