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Fri, Sep 2211:30 pm UTCDavid A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium
70 F
NC State
Wolfpack
NCST
Last 5 ATS
W/L8-3
ATS6-4
O/U4-7-0
FINAL SCORE
24
-
21
Virginia
Cavaliers
UVA
Last 5 ATS
W/L3-9
ATS8-4
O/U8-2-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
8-3
Win /Loss
3-9
6-4
Spread
8-4
4-7-0
Over / Under
8-2-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NCST @ UVA
Subscribers Only

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MONEYLINE
NCST @ UVA
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
NCST @ UVA
Subscribers Only

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69%
PUBLIC
31%
MONEY
90%
PUBLIC
10%
MONEY
Over68%
PUBLIC
Under32%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadNC State -8.5 -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+493
16-10-1 in Last 27 NCAAF ATS Picks
Chip's Analysis:

This is where NC State's defense should answer the call against an offense that has dealt with instability at the quarterback position and could be prone to turnovers. Brennan Armstrong's return to Charlottesville will certainly provide extra motivation on both sides, but I think we see that with his legs on key third down and red zone opportunities. I like the Pack by double digits.

Pick Made: Sep 22, 2:34 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderUnder 48.5 -110
WIN
Unit0.5
+1628.5
74-53-1 in Last 128 NCAAF Picks
+649.5
16-10 in Last 26 NCAAF O/U Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Popped on my radar, pun intended, because of that tropical system off the Atlantic coast. Looks like Florida will be mostly spared for once but the forecast for Charlottesville starting tonight (nice during the day) is lots of rain and winds up to 20 mph. Obviously that forecast can change, but let's get ahead of this number as it may well drop a fair amount. Our Model has 47 points scored and that's without weather factored in. UVA has really struggled offensively and will see its former QB in NC State's Brennan Armstrong.

Pick Made: Sep 21, 8:55 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Point SpreadNC State -9.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1262
41-26-1 in Last 68 NCAAF Picks
+325
22-17-1 in Last 40 NCAAF ATS Picks
Tom's Analysis:

The Virginia defense is a mess, particularly at the back end. On offense the Cavaliers can't stop turning the ball over. I've been disappointed a bit by what I've seen from the Wolfpack this season, but this is a spot they should cruise.

Pick Made: Sep 21, 5:46 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey

Team Injuries

NC State Wolfpack
Sunday, Nov 30, 2025
Avatar
LB
Sean Brown
Undisclosed
Avatar
CB
Jamel Johnson
Undisclosed
Avatar
T
Kamen Smith
Undisclosed
Avatar
RB
Isiah Jones
Undisclosed
Avatar
K
Charlie Birtwistle
Undisclosed
Avatar
WR
Jonathan Paylor
Undisclosed
Virginia Cavaliers
Monday, Dec 08, 2025
Avatar
OL
Monroe Mills
Undisclosed
Avatar
TE
Dakota Twitty
Leg
Avatar
CB
Jam Jackson
Undisclosed
Avatar
QB
Grady Brosterhous
Foot
Avatar
WR
Andre Greene Jr.
Undisclosed
Avatar
CB
Dre Walker
Undisclosed
Avatar
RB
Noah Vaughn
Ankle
Avatar
WR
Trevor Ladd
Undisclosed
Saturday, Dec 06, 2025
Avatar
WR
Trell Harris
Knee
Tuesday, Oct 28, 2025
Avatar
RB
Xavier Brown
Foot
Tuesday, Oct 21, 2025
Avatar
WR
Suderian Harrison
Redshirt
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