Texas Bowl. I am not doing well right now on bowl ATS or ML plays, so let's try a total to change things up -- interesting this has risen a half-point since Mike Tierney took the under. I agree with him as this feels about a touchdown too high, and I did well during the regular season on under totals of 70 or higher. We should have a running clock often as Ole Miss is going to run, run, run behind the duo of true freshman RB Quinshon Judkins and junior RB Zach Evans, who own a combined 2,375 yards on the ground. Texas Tech ranks ninth nationally in red-zone defense, and field goals would be our best friend here.

Oddsmakers are prone to post totals on the high side for bowl games, and there is no better example than this one. Neither team was assigned a number close to 72 during the regular season. Usually, a game in the 70s involves pass-first teams, but the Rebels prefer to stick to the ground. Their previous outing produced 46 points. The Red Raiders engaged in a 14-10 game recently. Tech does embrace a quick pace, but the Rebs' defense is decent. Conversely, Tech's strength on defense is against the rush. This bar seems too high.