A high-five to those who grabbed an Over when the total dipped into the 50s after Coastal QB Grayson McCall entered the transfer portal. Surprisingly, he will play, which has boosted the number big-time. Still, it's worth a roll of the dice. The pass defenses at full strength are ranked 124th (Chanticleers) and 131 (Pirates). Coastal's two main CBs and its premier pass rusher will bypass the bowl, which is welcome news to prolific ECU passer Holton Ahlers. He and McCall have combined for 47 TDs against a mere seven interceptions. The Pirates should be pumped to pile up points, given this is their first time bowling in eight years.

The "Grayson McCall factor" is something that should be considered here, but not in the way that benefits the Chanticleers. McCall already has one foot out of the door and the change in coaching staff has soured the excitement in Conway. The Pirates have topped the 450-yard mark in four of their last six games, including a 534-point outburst in the regular season finale vs. Temple. An East Carolina ticket in a touchdown game will cash, and it's hard for me to imagine Coastal having enough left in the tank to hang for four quarters.

Coastal Carolina owns the better offensive line (No. 87 vs. No. 102) and defensive line (No. 19 vs. No. 37 at Football Outsiders. Star QB Grayson McCall, who is the only player to earn Sun Belt conference Player of the Year three times, will start for Coastal Carolina. He's heading for the transfer portal after this game. Coastal Carolina owns better metrics against fellow bowlers. The Chanticleers are 9-3 straight up on field turf, while East Carolina is 0-2 this season. Take the points in what should be a one-score game.