Of all bowls, this one might have the biggest motivational gap between teams. Oregon State hopes to reward coach Jonathan Smith, the ink barely dry on his long-term contract extension, with a win. The Beavers shoot for an ultra-rare 10-victory season. Several standouts bailed on Florida, notably QB Anthony Richardson and All-America OG O'Cyrus Torrence. Fill-in QB Jack Miller has yet to toss a pass this season; he delivered all of 14 when at Ohio State. First-year Gators coach Billy Napier did go 2-1 straight-up in bowls while at Louisiana but was 0-3 ATS.

Las Vegas Bowl. All the models have this total going over, but how is Florida going to score with dual-threat star QB and expected first-round NFL Draft pick Anthony Richardson having opted out? Former third-stringer Jack Miller hasn't taken a snap all season -- and his best offensive lineman also opted out. Oregon State for the most part is a very good defensive team. Tough to see the Gators scoring more than 20 and they should keep OSU under 33 points.