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    Sun 11/27 | 12:30 AM UTC | Los Angeles
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Notre Dame Fighting Irish 8-4, 6-6 ATS
    ND +4.5-110
    ND +175
    Over 62.5-110
    USC Trojans 11-2, 8-5 ATS
    USC -4.5-110
    USC -210
    Under 62.5-110

    Expert Picks

    CFB | Notre Dame 27 @ USC 38 | 11/27 | 12:30 AM UTC

    USC -205

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: Could Notre Dame win? Sure. Cover? Absolutely. I thought about taking +4.5. But it's all there for USC now. Caleb Williams can wrap up the Heisman as CJ Stroud isn't winning after OSU's shocking blowout loss. A playoff spot is there for the Trojans -- they obviously have to win here and then next week in the Pac-12 title game. I do worry about the USC defense but that offense is spectacular. The Irish are rolling but who have they really beaten in that stretch? Clemson? Tigers were exposed again today. And just one of ND's five straight wins was a true road game. Again, I'm a bit different as I don't like to sweat spreads. I can see USC only winning by a field goal.

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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +20 2-1 IN LAST 3 ND ML PICKS

    Season Splits

    8-4, 6-6 ATS
    11-2, 8-5 ATS
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    54%
    6-5
    7-4
    64%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    80%
    4-1
    4-2
    67%
    As Underdog or PK
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    100%
    4-0
    6-4
    60%
    When Spread was +2 to +6
    SPREAD
    When Spread was -6 to -2
    100%
    2-0
    1-1
    50%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Favorite
    100%
    3-0
    4-2
    67%
    vs Teams That Win >70% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >70% of Games
    80%
    4-1
    2-1
    67%
    vs Teams Allowing 25 to 32 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG
    50%
    2-2
    2-1
    67%
    After <=8 Days Off
    REST
    After <=8 Days Off
    0%
    0-0
    0-0
    0%
    vs USC
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs ND
    0%
    0-0
    0-0
    0%