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Sun 11/27 | 12:30 AM UTC | Los Angeles
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 8-3, 6-5 ATS
ND +4.5-110
ND +175
Over 62.5-110
USC Trojans 11-1, 8-4 ATS
USC -4.5-110
USC -210
Under 62.5-110

Expert Picks

CFB | Notre Dame 27 @ USC 38 | 11/27 | 12:30 AM UTC

USC -205

WIN

ANALYSIS: Could Notre Dame win? Sure. Cover? Absolutely. I thought about taking +4.5. But it's all there for USC now. Caleb Williams can wrap up the Heisman as CJ Stroud isn't winning after OSU's shocking blowout loss. A playoff spot is there for the Trojans -- they obviously have to win here and then next week in the Pac-12 title game. I do worry about the USC defense but that offense is spectacular. The Irish are rolling but who have they really beaten in that stretch? Clemson? Tigers were exposed again today. And just one of ND's five straight wins was a true road game. Again, I'm a bit different as I don't like to sweat spreads. I can see USC only winning by a field goal.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+593 59-42-1 IN LAST 102 CFB PICKS

Season Splits

8-3, 6-5 ATS
11-1, 8-4 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
54%
6-5
7-4
64%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
80%
4-1
4-2
67%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
100%
4-0
6-4
60%
When Spread was +2 to +6
SPREAD
When Spread was -6 to -2
100%
2-0
1-1
50%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
100%
3-0
4-2
67%
vs Teams That Win >70% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >70% of Games
80%
4-1
2-1
67%
vs Teams Allowing 25 to 32 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG
50%
2-2
2-1
67%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
vs USC
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ND
0%
0-0
0-0
0%