Everybody knows how bad Iowa's offense is. What isn't as widely understood in this matchup that Nevada's offense is just as ineffective, and now the Wolf Pack have to face an Iowa defense that's still very good. This will be Iowa's best offensive performance of the year by far, but it's still Iowa, and Nevada will not score enough to push this game Over.

An Over for a game involving statistically the worst offense in FBS? Indeed, given that Nevada gave up 55 points last week to FBS program Incarnate Word. The Hawkeyes, averaging a horrid seven points per game and 2.8 yards per snap, should find some relief. Reinforcements are on the way, with rehabbed WRs Nico Regain and Keagan Johnson likely to make their season debuts. The Wolf Pack piled up 41 points last week. This total of 39 seems a low bar.

Somehow, a team that has scored a grand total of 14 points in two games is a 23-point favorite. I suppose Iowa's defense could score. After all, the Hawkeyes' D is responsible for four of those points. Maybe they'll post 7 field goals and a safety? Iowa will likley win, but this seems like too big of a number to trust to the Hawkeyes' offense.