QUICK LANE BOWL -- This spread has swung by a whopping two touchdowns — and it may not be enough. Not only did Nevada QB Carson Strong bow out to focus on the NFL, but more than a dozen teammates have entered the transfer portal. The backup QBs have thrown just 24 passes all season, and the top six receivers are gone for various reasons, along with some offensive lineman and head coach Jay Norvell. The Wolf Pack bumps into the MAC’s top-ranked defense. Nevada’s seasoned defense mostly remains intact, but it might have to score on its own to make a cover happen against Western Michigan, which plays close to home.

Quick Lane Bowl -- This spread has changed 10 points since its opening because Nevada is losing its top players left and right to either the NFL Draft or the transfer portal (and head coach Jay Norvell left for Colorado State). I was waiting to officially back Western Michigan for when Wolf Pack QB Carson Strong, the Mountain West Player of the Year, announced he wasn't playing in the bowl. He just did. I still don't love giving 3.5 points so moneyline it is.