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Sat 12/04 | 9:00 PM UTC | Atlanta
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Georgia Bulldogs 11-0, 8-3 ATS
UGA -6
UGA -230
Over 49
Alabama Crimson Tide 10-1, 6-5 ATS
BAMA +6
BAMA +190
Under 49

Expert Picks

Georgia 24 @ Alabama 41 | 12/04 | 9:00 PM UTC

Alabama +6.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: SEC title game from Atlanta. It's often dangerous when a team hasn't played a close game in many weeks, and Georgia hasn't been challenged since the season opener. Alabama has been in a few tight games, including last week -- I believe this line is slightly inflated because the Tide were nearly upset by Auburn. I don't take much from that. Also consider the Dawgs know they are in the playoff regardless. It's win or out for Alabama. I can't bet against Nick Saban with this many points and against one of his former assistants -- even though Texas A&M's Jimbo Fisher became the first to beat him back on Oct. 9. If I though this might get to -7, I'd wait. But it's not going to. I frankly hope Georgia wins by 50 but more likely by 3-6 points. And Bama certainly could win.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1059 64-47-2 IN LAST 113 CFB PICKS

Season Splits

11-0, 8-3 ATS
10-1, 6-5 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
73%
8-3
6-5
54%
On Road or Neutral
LOCATION
On Road or Neutral
100%
6-0
2-3
40%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
70%
7-3
0-0
0%
When Spread was -8.5 to -4.5
SPREAD
When Spread was +4.5 to +8.5
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
Favored on Road or Neutral
LOCATION & STATUS
As Road Underdog
100%
5-0
0-0
0%
vs Teams That Win >70% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >70% of Games
50%
2-2
1-1
50%
vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG
60%
3-2
1-3
25%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
vs BAMA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs UGA
0%
0-0
0-0
0%