We’ve got a couple of senior quarterbacks set to battle, with Northern Illinois’ Rocky Lombardi coming off his best performance and riding a five-game winning streak. Kent State's Dustin Crum has been one of my favorites because he doesn’t make mistakes. His only two interceptions came in a season-opening loss to Texas A&M. The spread suggests this is a neutral game, but it’s not. The Golden Flashes are 3-0 at home. Cheap price, I’m on Kent State's balanced offense to cover.

Big total as both teams rank near the bottom of the MAC in scoring defense but part of the reason I think this will stay Under is both will be running the ball plenty, especially Northern Illinois, which means a lot of running clock. The SportsLine Projection Model has exactly 69 points being scored, but Sagarin has 65 and ESPN's SP+ has 61. I'm thinking something like a 34-31 final score.