I obviously hate betting this at -7 but can't do an alternate line -- there's a very reasonable chance the Mountaineers win by exactly seven. I lean them at home, though, coming off what was basically a scrimmage last week against Elon, while Marshall had to play a full, hard 40 minutes in blowing a 38-21 fourth-quarter lead and losing to East Carolina -- App State easily handled ECU in Week 1. Two App State starting defenders who missed the Elon game are back, and the Mountaineers are looking for payback for last year's ugly loss at Marshall. I guess I think it's more likely App State wins by more than 7 than Marshall does of losing by less than 7.

This spread is an overreaction to Marshall’s loss last week when it blew a 38-21 lead heading into the fourth quarter and lost. Marshall couldn’t stop ECU late and it will have its hands full here too. But the rating drop with the oddsmakers was too much. I took the value with the points. I'm on Marshall.