We just saw this game last week, a 34-24 Memphis victory. But the yards gained for each team show it was closer than the score suggests. I think Cincinnati’s defense is the beneficiary of having games in consecutive weeks against the same opponent. Memphis has won 10 straight, but I'm taking the points with Cincinnati.

The Bearcats were in the game last week with second-string true freshman quarterback Ben Bryant. Now, Desmond Ridder returns to run the offense -- a change that is worth five points. You can add two points for revenge, as Memphis has won the last four in the series. The Liberty Bowl seats 58,325, and with Cincinnati just seven hours away, Bearcat Nation will be well represented. Cincinnati lost the turnover battle last week 3-1 and lost the game 34-24, but did cover the spread. Expect the same here.