The Wolverines are 7-1 ATS their last eight games after starting the year 0-3 ATS. Quarterback Shea Patterson threw five touchdown passes last week in a 39-14 win at Indiana. Patterson and the Wolverines are peaking at the right time. Ohio State won last week 28-17, however it failed to cover the point spread against Penn State. After 11 straight wins, the pressure starts to mount. Rain is likely, possibly mixed with snow and east southeast wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

It's one of the biggest games in college football, and for most of the last decade, it's been one of the highest-scoring rivalries. The last eight meetings between these two have featured an average of 67.25 points. The only time any of their games finished below 50 points since 2011 was a 26-21 Ohio State win in 2012. Expect more of the same on Saturday.

My model says that the Wolverines cover the spread 51 percent of the time, so you're getting good value playing Michigan at this point spread. The Wolverines are on a four-game winning streak during which they've scored an average of 41.5 points. They've covered the spread in each of their last five games and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these teams. Take Michigan.

With Michigan’s offense playing at its best right now, I’m looking for the Over trend to continue here as the last six meetings have gone over the total. Both defenses have been stingy all season, but I like the offenses to shine here. It might not resemble Ohio State's 62-39 win last year, but it still gets over what is the same total from that contest.

Ohio State has beaten Michigan seven straight times, but I don’t remember the Wolverines offense performing at its highest level of the season coming into their annual meeting. While the Buckeyes have failed to cover back-to-back games after an 8-0 run ATS, Michigan has covered its last five and seven of eight.