Kentucky has overachieved by becoming bowl eligible despite using a converted receiver at QB and overcoming other adversity. the Wildcats got to six wins by beating up on meager opponents the past two weeks. Louisville is a fellow overachiever and way ahead of its rebuilding schedule with seven wins in the first year under Bob Satterfield. In current form, the Cardinals are the better team and they are the value side getting points in this rivalry game.

Rainy conditions tend to favor the team that relies on its ground game. In this game, that would be Kentucky, with converted receiver Lynn Bowden Jr. at QB. Bowden averages an amazing 7.37 yards per cary, second best in the FBS. The Wildcats have covered all but once in their previous seven home gigs. Take Kentucky.