My model says Kentucky covers more than 70 percent of the time, so you're getting solid value with the Wildcats at this spread. Kentucky is coming off an open week, and the last time these two teams played in Lexington, in 2017, the Wildcats emerged with a 29-26 victory. Kentucky is 5-0 against the spread in its last five home games. The Wildcats win and cover.

The Vols are rolling thanks to a defensive renaissance orchestrated by coach Jeremy Pruitt. A 7-5 record is in sight, and Darrell Taylor and Co. will take advantage of a Kentucky offense that is using its best wide receiver at quarterback.