Mike Riley likely is coaching his final game for the Cornhuskers. His main failing has been on defense, as Nebraska has allowed over 50 in its last two contests. The opener against Arkansas State, who tallied 36, turned out to be an omen. The line has jumped from 2.5 to 4.5 with Iowa favored, which lessens the value ATS for Iowa backers, but a perplexing plunge on the total from 54 makes up for it.

Each team has covered just four times this season, but the big difference is Iowa's defense allowing 20 points a game while Nebraska's yields 34. That number ballooned after the Huskers' 56-44 loss at Penn State last week and a 54-21 loss at Minnesota the week before. Iowa has lost two straight since its 55-24 upset win over Ohio State. Sandwiched around the OSU game, Iowa's offense has scored 10, 17, 14 and 15. The Hawkeyes' defense will play well and set the pace. Under is the top play here.