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Thu, Mar 1211:00 pm UTCSpectrum Center
Florida State
Seminoles
FSU
Last 5 ATS
W/L16-15
ATS19-14
O/U17-16-0
FINAL SCORE
79
-
80
Duke
Blue Devils
DUKE
Last 5 ATS
W/L27-3
ATS23-15
O/U14-24-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
16-15
Win /Loss
27-3
19-14
Spread
23-15
17-16-0
Over / Under
14-24-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
FSU @ DUKE
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MONEYLINE
FSU @ DUKE
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OVER / UNDER
FSU @ DUKE
Subscribers Only

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56%
PUBLIC
44%
MONEY
7%
PUBLIC
93%
MONEY
Over72%
PUBLIC
Under28%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadFlorida St. +17.5 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+444
10-5 Last 15 CBB ATS
+80
3-2 Last 5 CBB ATS
Mike's Analysis:

Were Duke at full strength, this llne might make sense. The Blue Devils' roster has been thinned out by injuries to point guard Caleb Foster and post player Patrick Ngongba, reducing their depth. FSU stayed within four points in the regular season meeting. Further, the Seminoles roll into the ACC Tournament on a 7-1 straight-up streak. The 'Noles have covered in 11 of the last 15. They can make this a single-digit game.

Pick Made: Mar 12, 8:01 pm UTC on DraftKings
SpreadFlorida St. +18.5 -114
WIN
Unit1.0
+1530
28-12 Last 40 CBB
+1098
14-3 Last 17 CBB ATS
Eric's Analysis:

Florida State has won four straight games and 7 of 8 with nothing to lose in seemingly a lost season. Could they be this year's NC State, a team that shocked its way through the ACC Tournament two years ago and made it all the way to the Final Four? Highly doubtful, but with Duke's injury issues including point guard Caleb Foster, I think the Blue Devils are on big time upset alert in this tournament. FSU lost by four the first time around and I'll predict a single-digit game again on Thursday night.

Pick Made: Mar 12, 5:48 am UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Florida State Seminoles
Tuesday, Apr 21, 2026
Avatar
G
Lajae Jones
Transfer Portal
Monday, Apr 13, 2026
Avatar
F
Chauncey Wiggins
Transfer Portal
Thursday, Apr 02, 2026
Avatar
F
AJ Swinton
Knee
Tuesday, Mar 31, 2026
Avatar
F
Shah Muhammad
Transfer Portal
Tuesday, Mar 17, 2026
Avatar
G
Xavier Osceola
Hip
Duke Blue Devils
Monday, Apr 27, 2026
Avatar
G
Isaiah Evans
Pro Draft Prep
Friday, Apr 24, 2026
Avatar
F
Cameron Boozer
Orbital
Monday, Feb 09, 2026
Avatar
C
Ifeanyi Ufochukwu
Knee
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