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Thu, Mar 1211:00 pm UTCSpectrum Center
Florida State
Seminoles
FSU
Last 5 ATS
W/L16-14
ATS18-14
O/U16-16-0
FINAL SCORE
79
-
80
Duke
Blue Devils
DUKE
Last 5 ATS
W/L22-2
ATS21-10
O/U10-21-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
16-14
Win /Loss
22-2
18-14
Spread
21-10
16-16-0
Over / Under
10-21-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
FSU @ DUKE
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MONEYLINE
FSU @ DUKE
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OVER / UNDER
FSU @ DUKE
Subscribers Only

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56%
PUBLIC
44%
MONEY
7%
PUBLIC
93%
MONEY
Over72%
PUBLIC
Under28%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadFlorida St. +17.5 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+282
4-1 in Last 5 NCAAB Picks
+164
5-3 in Last 8 NCAAB ATS Picks
+80
3-2 in Last 5 DUKE ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Were Duke at full strength, this llne might make sense. The Blue Devils' roster has been thinned out by injuries to point guard Caleb Foster and post player Patrick Ngongba, reducing their depth. FSU stayed within four points in the regular season meeting. Further, the Seminoles roll into the ACC Tournament on a 7-1 straight-up streak. The 'Noles have covered in 11 of the last 15. They can make this a single-digit game.

Pick Made: Thu 8:01 pm UTC on DraftKings
SpreadFlorida St. +18.5 -114
WIN
Unit1.0
+18
9-8 in Last 17 NCAAB ATS Picks
Eric's Analysis:

Florida State has won four straight games and 7 of 8 with nothing to lose in seemingly a lost season. Could they be this year's NC State, a team that shocked its way through the ACC Tournament two years ago and made it all the way to the Final Four? Highly doubtful, but with Duke's injury issues including point guard Caleb Foster, I think the Blue Devils are on big time upset alert in this tournament. FSU lost by four the first time around and I'll predict a single-digit game again on Thursday night.

Pick Made: Thu 5:48 am UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Florida State Seminoles
Monday, Mar 09, 2026
Avatar
G
Xavier Osceola
Hip
Friday, Mar 06, 2026
Avatar
F
AJ Swinton
Undisclosed
Duke Blue Devils
Saturday, Mar 07, 2026
Avatar
G
Caleb Foster
Undisclosed
Friday, Mar 06, 2026
Avatar
C
Patrick Ngongba II
Undisclosed
Monday, Feb 09, 2026
Avatar
C
Ifeanyi Ufochukwu
Knee
Avatar
G
Sebastian Wilkins
Redshirt
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