Cincinnati has won its last two meetings with Utah, and the Utes are on a five-game losing streak and didn't cover any of them. Just 10 wins on the season and 13 covers. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has won six of its last eight, including wins against BYU and Kansas as 8.5-point dogs. They beat Utah on February 15th, but they didn't cover the 12.5-point spread. My reason for liking Cincinnati to cover the spread is that they're on the brink of not making the tournament, forecasted to be one of the last eight teams out. Cincinnati's defense will see what is in store for them and take control of this moment. Cincinnati to cover.