Pitt always gets up for UNC under Jeff Capel, as evidenced by his six wins (three on the road) in 10 games, nearly all as an underdog. And while this year’s Pitt team is down bad, currently riding a 2-10 record in conference play coming out of a 16-point loss to Duke, the Panthers do face the Tar Heels in the immediate shell-shock spot of losing star freshman Caleb Wilson to injury. Wilson’s absence will be felt across the board as he’s the team’s leading scorer and rebounder, but from a betting angle I think it shows up as defensive regression. The Tar Heels will have to out-score teams, and that will trend to some overs until the market makes its post-Caleb adjustment.