We got a MAC matchup with U-Mass (12-8) visiting Buffalo (13-6), and I think the wrong team is favored tonight. Buffalo has lost their last four games, but they were against the four best teams in the conference. They were an underdog in all four games and covered against undefeated Miami-Ohio as a 10.5-point underdog. I have Massachusetts on a neutral court favored by 1, but on Buffalo's home court, the Bulls should be at least -2 in this game. Buffalo shoots 47.7% from the field and 38.8% from three-point range, which ranks 13th in the nation. Buffalo at home gets the win.