The key to Missouri’s success at home, where they are 7-1 straight up and 7-1 against the spread in SEC play, comes on the defensive end. The home-road splits for defensive efficiency are stark, and point to the boost the Tigers get when playing in front of their home crowd. Kentucky has also struggled in true road spots, going 2-7 against the spread, and while the Wildcats’ lineup is getting healthy at the right time I see a bounce back spot for Mizzou after a disappointing performance at Oklahoma on Wednesday night.

Missouri has lost three of their last four but return home where they’re 18-1 SU. They average 87 points at home while holding their opponents to less than 68. The Wildcats have a -4.8 point differential on the road and are without are dealing with a few season ending injuries. Kentucky is only 3-6 ATS on the road this season and won the first meeting at home by 13 points. The Tigers will look to get back on track with a hostile home atmosphere in their final home game of the season.