Alabama has struggled against some of the top teams in the SEC. The Gators like to play fast on the road, so this won’t be an issue for Alabama. The Crimson Tide have lost three of their last five games and Florida ran into some issues on the road of late, losing to the Bulldogs and needed a big second half against LSU for that victory. The Crimson Tide leads the nation in scoring and while Florida’s defense is very efficient, the home court may be enough since the Gators have been somewhat shaky on the road of late.

This has been a really tough stretch of the schedule for Alabama, both in terms of the quality of opponents but also the gut-punch loss to Tennessee over the weekend. With Auburn on deck this weekend and a (hopefully) long postseason run, it wouldn't be a huge shock to see a letdown even in a home finale. Florida, meanwhile, just got its groove back with a thrashing of Texas A&M and is currently carrying a 10-4 record against the spread in road games. The Gators have real upset potential, and definitely deserve a bite as an underdog of more than a possession.