Milwaukee dominated the first meeting of the season at home, winning by 15 points. The Penguins have been decent at home, 8-4 SU, but not as dominate as they were last season. Neither team can afford to lose this game, but Milwaukee is only 6-7 SU on the road this season despite being the second-best offensive rebounding team in the country to this point. They outrebounded the Penguins 15-7 on the offensive glass in the first game, which should be a point of emphasis tonight for Youngstown. The Penguins have the ability to create turnovers while Milwaukee struggles protecting the ball and are the better free throw shooting team with this short number.

The last time they played 143 points were scored and they went under by 3.5. However, they combined for just 5 total 3s and they missed a combined 23 foul shots and amassed 90(!!) points in the paint. It was a weird and rare under for both. YST is over in 5 of 6 and their last 5 at home have produced: 164, 163, 174, 142, 145 (avg:159). They are 2 of top 4 scoring teams in conference play. MIL is over in 6 of 8, going over on average by 8 ppg. Five of those 6 games went over by 10.5 or more. MIL average 158 ppg over their last eight. Yeah, they got my attention.