Indiana State went 30-6 and 20-14 against the spread and 9-4 at home and they're a little light on what the spread should be. I give Indiana State home court at least five points here, about two points above what they're making it now. The thing about Indiana State is they're super accurate making their shots at 50.3%. They're number three in the nation. And the home crowd is crazy. The Sycamore's home crowd is the reason they win. Indiana State covers.

The Bearcats got by San Francisco and trounced Bradley without starters Day Day Thomas and Viktor Lakhin. They won't play Tuesday against Indiana State, and this is a matchup in which Cincy will miss their firepower. Indiana State has won and covered against Minnesota and SMU despite leading scorer Robbie Avila shooting 5 for 20 combined. That's how lethal the Sycamores are offensively. Look for Indiana State to keep proving it belonged in the NCAA Tournament.

So far, so good for the Sycs in this event, winning handily at home vs. SMU and Minnesota, with the offense mostly functioning as it did during the regular season when ringing up 84.6 ppg (ranked 8th) and hitting 50.6% from the floor (ranked 3rd); for the NIT, it’s 88 ppg and 51.8% from the floor. ISU stays in Terre Haute for the quarters, and see no reason the Sycamore train can’t keep moving forward, with the exquisite inside-outside offensive balance featuring goggled 6-10 Robbie Avila (who also floats to the perimeter, where he hits better than 38% beyond the arc) and ex-South Florida G Ryan Conwell, ISU’s leading scorer in the NIT at 24 ppg. Play Indiana State (NIT)