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Neither team afraid to run the court, both fine chucking up three balls, and I think this is close and late. Like Clemson's mix of inside and outside play. New Mexico's backcourt is difficult to stop. I think this becomes a spring and not a slog. Both teams top 40 in Ken Pom's adjusted offensive efficiency rankings. Points. Points. Points.
New Mexico has covered eight straight games at neutral sites and enters the NCAA Tournament on a 6-0 ATS run overall. They have three dynamic guards who can create, which makes them tough to stop. Defensively, New Mexico holds opponents to 30.4 percent from beyond the arc. Clemson owns some signature wins but has been very inconsistent. Lay the points.
The Mountain West has seen three teams fall, with Boise and Nevada losing in heart break fashion. Look for the conference to get a win today with New Mexico. The Lobos found a steady guard with sophomore Donovan Dent paired with senior Jaelen House. In the interior the Lobos have the bigs with Nelly Joseph and freshmen JT Toppin to matchup with PJ Hall and Clemson. Tail the Lobos as the 11th seed favorite.
I like this matchup for Clemson as my simulations make them -2 favorites against New Mexico. Clemson is used to the contrasting styles in terms of pace of play in the ACC. The difference here will be the free throw line where Clemson is one of the best teams in the country at nearly 80% from the line.