Normally I'd steer clear of an early game under in conference tournaments but Capital One Arena seems to have some friendly rims based on Day 1 at the ACC Tournament. Tuesday's games produced 146, 164 and 183 points, with the lowest total coming from Boston College's dominant win against a Miami team that's had "1-2-3 Cancun!" vibes for a few weeks. VT and FSU also combined for 151 and 158 points in their two regular season meetings, and the Noles have been a good "over" team all season.

ACC Tournament from Washington, D.C. Va Tech might have a shot at a spot in the Dance if it wins at least a couple of games in the event. FSU has none unless it wins it. They split in the regular season, but Tech probably sweeps if it doesn't have one of its worst free-throw shooting games of the year in Tallahassee. The Hokies won their final three games of the regular season and averaged 83 points per game in that span. If they score that much today, it's a win. Florida State has allowed an average of 80 points against over its last nine. Since the loss in Blacksburg on Feb. 13, FSU has gone 3-4 with all the wins at home.

If there is such a thing as a bubble thief template, it was authored by Mike Young's VPI two years ago when the ACC Tourney was in Brooklyn, and the Hokies stormed the field with four wins in as many days to steal the Big Dance bid. VPI did it mostly with hot shooting, which seems to be a constant with past tourney upset winners. A couple of faces from 2022 are still around, including G Hunter Cattoor (13.7 ppg), who burned Duke for 31 points in the 2022 finale. Along with Sean Padulla and Tyler Nickel, VPI has bombardiers who can ignite, while FSU has stopped playing defense for Leonard Hamilton, allowing 80 pg its last nine. Play VPI (ACC at Washington)