Tennessee is 2-5 ATS as away favorites. The Volunteers are off their big road win against Alabama and now face a Gamecocks team that is 14-2 SU at home and 2-0 ATS as home underdogs. Tennessee also has Kentucky on deck for the regular season finale. This season, the Gamecocks are 10-0 ATS and 9-1 SU when underdogs of 9.5-points or less. South Carolina’s defense is allowing 62.5 points at home and have already held the Volunteers to 59-points in a road victory in the first meeting when they only shot 33.9% from the field. The revenge spot is understandable for Tennessee, but the Gamecocks continue to setup to the plate.

The Vols have scored 81 or more points in five of their last six games. South Carolina doesn't play at the same pace as Tennessee, but they are a fairly strong offensive team, averaging 72.1 points per game on the season. In my eyes, getting this game total at 139.5 is a massive value -- I believe this number should be in the upper 140's. I'm betting the over here, and expect the final point total to hit 150+.

I like Tennessee -4.5 (-115) on FanDuel or -5 (-110) on DraftKings. I make this line -7.5 for Tennessee despite the road matchup. The Vols lost 63-59 in the first matchup but ShotQuality data suggests they should have won by 11 points. Contrasting styles and Tennessee has a strong rebounding edge. I'll share more on the Early Edge Wednesday morning.